Rayo Vallecano aim to build to return to winning ways as they welcome Mallorca to Vallecas. As los Bermellones are not regarded as good travellers, our prediction leans toward a 1-0 home win. The hosts are set to be without defender Luiz Felipe after he picked up a knock in the 1-1 local derby with Getafe, but Nobel Mendy should be an adequate substitute. Rayo have been difficult to beat at home (DDWD), conceding just 0.50 goals per match in front of their own fans and posting a solid 1.93 expected goals average at Vallecas. However, their attacking output remains modest, with only 1.25 goals scored per home game and a high 40% failure-to-score rate overall.
Los Bermellones, on the other hand, travel to Madrid with only veteran goalkeeper Ivan Cuellar missing, following their 2-1 defeat to Girona. Their home form has been far stronger than their away performances: while they pick up 1.75 PPG at home, they manage only 0.83 PPG on the road, scoring just 0.83 goals per away match. Defensively, though, they mirror Rayo’s figures, conceding 1.50 goals per away game, and their overall BTTS rate stands at 60%.
As Rayo Vallecano have turned their stadium into a real fortress, Home Win is our main betting tip for this La Liga matchup, alongside Under 2.5 and Under 3.5 goals as both sides average low scoring outputs and lack cutting edge.
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 11 January 2026 at 13:00.
What is our Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Alvaro Garcia @ 240 Odds
- To be booked: Omar Mascarell @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferRayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwld | 1.30 |
| Home | ddwd | 1.50 |
| Away | lwlwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.75 | 1.93 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.19 | 1.35 |
Mallorca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwldl | 1.20 |
| Home | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Away | lwdld | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.75 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.29 | 1.65 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rayo Vallecano (32%)
19 Matches
Mallorca (53%)
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