Rayo Vallecano host Oviedo in a crucial La Liga relegation clash. As Oviedo are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a 1-0 home win. Los Vallecanos will be without Pathe Ciss and Pep Chavaria, both suspended after red cards in a 2-1 loss to Real Madrid. Rayo’s home form has been slightly better than their away struggles, averaging 1.6 points per home game, scoring 1.4 goals and conceding just 1, while BTTS has landed in 60% of home fixtures. Their expected goals of 1.69 at home indicates they are creating decent chances but need to be clinical.
Oviedo come into this match off a 1-0 win over Girona and remain injury-free. However, their away record is poor, with just 0.2 points per game, scoring 0.6 goals and conceding 2.6, while failing to score in 60% of away fixtures. Experienced midfielder Santi Cazorla is expected to start from the bench once again.
Given Rayo's home advantage and Oviedo’s weak away form, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Under 2.5 goals and BTTS - No as 56% of their H2H meetings have featured 2 or fewer goals.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 7 February 2026 at 13:00.
What is our Rayo Vallecano vs Oviedo prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano vs Oviedo Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexandre Alemao @ 160 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexandre Alemao @ 450 Odds
- To be booked: David Carmo @ -105 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Rayo Vallecano -0.5 @ -130 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Rayo Vallecano to Win @ -350 Odds
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View OfferRayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllll | 1.10 |
| Home | dwdwl | 1.60 |
| Away | lwlll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.60 | 1.69 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.23 | 1.61 |
Oviedo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddllw | 0.80 |
| Home | ddddw | 1.40 |
| Away | lldll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 0.60 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.20 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.28 | 1.79 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Oviedo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rayo Vallecano (33%)
9 Matches
Oviedo (22%)
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