An entertaining local derby is on the cards at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu, with Real Madrid being eager to bounce back from their 1-0 defeat to Real Betis and preserve their perfect home record this season. Los Blancos created an impressive 3.46 xG against Betis, although Kylian Mbappe’s missed penalty ultimately proved costly. Bernardo Silva, Eduardo Camavinga and Arda Guler are all available again after serving Champions League bans, giving Jose Mourinho further options.
Rayo Vallecano, meanwhile, head into the local derby on the back of a 3-2 victory over Racing Santander. However, their away record remains a concern, with just a 29% win rate across their last 10 matches and 2.29 goals conceded per game. Rayo have also failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those away fixtures. Real Madrid have won 16 of their 22 previous meetings, while 55% of those encounters produced over 2.5 goals.
Considering Real Madrid's superior quality and a dominant H2H record, we believe that punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Real Madrid/Real Madrid, alongside Mbappe to Score and Real Madrid -1.5.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Real Madrid 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-0 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -300 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ 210 Odds
- To be Booked: Pathe Ciss @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -2 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Real Madrid -1 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -1200 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Real Madrid to Win @ -2500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid to Win/Real Madrid to Win @ -200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Real Madrid - Yes @ 100 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
You can place your bets on Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferReal Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwwwwwlw | 2.50 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.60 |
| Away | wwwwl | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.90 | 1.92 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 1.31 | 1.17 |
Rayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllwlldlw | 1.30 |
| Home | wdw | 2.33 |
| Away | wllwlll | 0.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 67% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.00 | 3.57 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.00 | 2.29 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 29% |
| Expected Goals | 1.27 | 1.62 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.69 | 1.32 | 1.85 |
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Madrid (73%)
22 Matches
Rayo Vallecano (9%)
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Past Results
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