Real Madrid host Real Sociedad in what promises to be a high-intensity La Liga clash with 2-1 our predicted outcome. Los Blancos welcome back Vinicius Junior from suspension, providing a major boost to their attack after a 2-0 win over Valencia. Doubts remain over Rodrygo and Jude Bellingham, but the hosts have shown excellent home form, winning 100% of their recent home games and scoring an average of 3.75 goals per home match while conceding just 0.75.
Real Sociedad, meanwhile, remain dangerous on the road, averaging 3 goals per away match and taking 2.2 points per game in away fixtures. Midfielder Luka Sucic is expected to return, helping Sociedad’s creativity, though their defensive record remains shaky with no clean sheets in recent games. Historically, Madrid dominate this fixture, winning 24 of the last 34 matches, with 65% of encounters producing over 2.5 goals.
Taking everything into account, we predict an attacking contest with goals at both ends. However, Home Win is our main betting tip as key players are back to Real Madrid's starting XI. Additionally BTTS (59%) and Over 2.5 goals (65%) bets seem interesting.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Real Madrid 2 - 1 Real Sociedad
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ 250 Odds
- To be Booked: Jon Aramburu @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Real Sociedad +1.5 @ -130 Odds
- European Handicap: Real Sociedad +2 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -600 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Real Madrid to Win @ -700 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid to Win/Real Madrid to Win @ 100 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Real Madrid - No @ -175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
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View OfferReal Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlww | 2.10 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | llwlw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.10 | 4.50 | 3.83 |
| Scored | 2.70 | 3.75 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.75 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.99 | 2.37 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.56 | 1.42 | 1.66 |
Real Sociedad Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdww | 2.20 |
| Home | ddwww | 2.20 |
| Away | wdwdw | 2.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.72 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.68 | 1.20 |
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Madrid (71%)
34 Matches
Real Sociedad (15%)
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