What is our Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Real Madrid 3 - 1 Sevilla
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Preview
Following a hard-fought 1-0 win over Villarreal, Real Madrid return to the Santiago Bernabeu aiming to maintain their impressive home record. Los Blancos secured all three points despite Kylian Mbappé missing a couple of one-on-one opportunities, but they will have to cope without Vinicius Junior, who is suspended following his sending-off against Villarreal. Marc Cucurella is pushing for a starting role, while Madrid’s attacking depth should help compensate for the absence of their Brazilian star.
Sevilla, meanwhile, were involved in a dramatic 3-3 draw with Levante, conceding an equaliser ten minutes into stoppage time after seemingly being close to victory. Los Sevillanos have shown a willingness to attack, but their defensive shortcomings could be costly against such formidable opposition. Isaac Romero is suspended for the trip to the capital, while fellow forward Miguel Sierra suffered a serious injury against Levante, leaving the visitors short of options up front.
Real Madrid have been ruthless at the Bernabeu and leading the H2H record (73% wins). Therefore, Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Mbappe to Score and Over 2.5 goals (73% H2H).
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 20:00.
- League
- Primera Division
- Kick-off
- Sun 18 Oct 2026, 20:00UK time
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Real Madrid 3-1 Sevilla | 9/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/8 | |
| Draw No Bet: Real Madrid | 1/14 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid / Real Madrid | 8/11 | |
| Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -1.5 | 27/40 | |
| European Handicap: Real Madrid -1 | 8/13 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe | 4/9 | |
| First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe | 9/4 | |
| To be Booked: Gabriel Suazo | 6/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 3/4 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/9 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 2/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 4/11 | |
| Real Madrid Clean Sheet: No | 4/6 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferReal Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlwwwlww | 2.40 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wlwlw | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 2.02 | 2.11 | 1.92 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.68 | 1.46 |
Sevilla Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwldwwlld | 1.40 |
| Home | wlwll | 1.20 |
| Away | lwdwd | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.35 | 1.52 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.38 | 1.54 |
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Madrid (73%)
40 Matches
Sevilla (20%)





