Real Madrid are eager to melt Barcelona’s advantage in the La Liga standings when they take on Villarreal in the La Liga round 8 after already dropped six points this season. Kylian Mbappe, Ibrahima Konate and Federico Valverde are all facing a race against the clock to be fit, while defender Dean Huijsen is suspended following his red card in the 2-1 loss to Atletico Madrid. Jose Mourinho's men have been outstanding at home, winning all four of their matches and averaging 3.50 goals per game.
Villarreal, meanwhile, aim to build on back-to-back wins over Malaga and Levante, both by a 3-1 scoreline. Georges Mikautadze could be rested after playing four games for Georgia during the international window, while there are no fresh injury worries for Inigo Perez’s side. The Yellow Submarine have been involved in plenty of high-scoring games lately, with both teams finding the net in eight of their last 10 matches. Real Madrid have also won 19 of their last 35 H2H meetings.
Real Madrid’s perfect home record make Real Madrid to win our main betting tip. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals bet also stands out given Villarreal’s recent goal trend and Real Madrid Over 1.5 (los Blancos average 3.50 goals per home game).
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Real Madrid 3 - 1 Villarreal
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -225 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ 250 Odds
- To be Booked: Pape Gueye @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -1 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: Real Madrid -1 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -800 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Real Madrid to Win @ -800 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid to Win/Real Madrid to Win @ -120 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Real Madrid - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferReal Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwlwwwl | 2.40 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwlwl | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 4.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 3.50 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.99 | 2.30 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.70 | 1.36 |
Villarreal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwddllllww | 1.40 |
| Home | wllw | 1.50 |
| Away | wddllw | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.93 | 1.94 | 1.92 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.37 | 1.39 |
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Madrid (54%)
35 Matches
Villarreal (14%)
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Past Results
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