Sevilla look to get back on course in La Liga after a disappointing 3-0 defeat to Levante, and the return of key defender Marcao from suspension should provide much-needed stability. Given Celta's fine form, our prediction firmly points toward a 1-1 draw. The Andalusians have been more competitive at home than on the travels, collecting 1.50 PPG and conceding only 1.25 goals per game, while their 0.92 xGA at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan suggests their defensive structure generally holds up well. Still, scoring remains an issue, with Sevilla failing to hit the net in 50% of their home matches.
Celta Vigo, meanwhile, arrive in better form, taking 1.50 PPG both home and away thanks to a balanced approach. Their attack has been particularly effective, averaging 1.33 goals per away match, and they boast an impressive 50% away clean-sheet rate, a sign of improved defensive discipline. Even without Swedberg, Pablo Duran provides a reliable replacement. Celta’s expected goals numbers away from home (1.56) underline their ability to create chances consistently.
The H2H history points to a competitive fixture, with 64% BTTS and 79% over 1.5 goals across their last 28 meetings. Therefore, both Over 1.5 goals and BTTS markets seem appealing, alongside Celta to Win or Draw due to Sevilla's poor form.
This Primera Division match will be played on Monday 12 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Sevilla vs Celta Vigo prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sevilla 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Sevilla vs Celta Vigo Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Isaac Romero @ 187 Odds
- To be booked: Andres Castrin @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferSevilla Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlll | 1.00 |
| Home | wlwl | 1.50 |
| Away | lwdll | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.50 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 0.92 | 1.52 |
Celta Vigo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwddw | 1.50 |
| Home | llww | 1.50 |
| Away | ldwdd | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.75 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 0.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.49 | 1.28 |
Sevilla vs Celta Vigo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sevilla (39%)
28 Matches
Celta Vigo (32%)
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