What is our Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Valencia 0 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Preview
Valencia will be eager to build on their recent improvement when they take on Athletic Bilbao at Estadio de Mestalla, having rescued a 2-2 draw against Racing Santander. Javier Aguirre is still searching for consistency since taking charge, with Los Che struggling to turn encouraging spells into victories. Harvey Elliott is pushing for a starting role, while Copete, Rioja and Sadiq are battling injury problems. Their home record remains a major concern, and Valencia must become more productive in the final third if they are to take advantage of home support.
Athletic Bilbao arrive fresher after their scheduled La Liga meeting with Rayo Vallecano was abandoned at the weekend. Edin Terzic’s side have been more reliable defensively than their opponents, conceding just once per game on average across their recent sample. Nico Williams remains sidelined, reducing their threat out wide, but the visitors still have enough quality to exploit Valencia’s defensive weaknesses. Their away form also suggests they can make life uncomfortable for the hosts.
Valencia’s home struggles make it difficult to trust them, even with signs of improvement under Aguirre. Therefore, our main prediction leans toward Athletic Bilbao to win, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Athletic to Score First.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 20:00.
- League
- Primera Division
- Kick-off
- Sat 17 Oct 2026, 20:00UK time
Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Valencia 0-1 Athletic Bilbao | 13/2 | |
| Double Chance: X2 | 4/11 | |
| Draw No Bet: Athletic Club | 4/6 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Athletic Club / Athletic Club | 3/1 | |
| Asian Handicap: Valencia +1.5 | 7/40 | |
| European Handicap: Athletic Club +1 | 4/11 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Hugo Duro | 21/10 | |
| First Goalscorer: Hugo Duro | 6/1 | |
| To be Booked: Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta | 15/8 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 10/11 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals | 11/5 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/12 | |
| Athletic Club Clean Sheet: Yes | 7/4 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferValencia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldllllwld | 0.60 |
| Home | ldlll | 0.20 |
| Away | dllwd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.11 | 1.30 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.70 | 1.71 | 1.69 |
Athletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllllwwdd | 1.40 |
| Home | lwdd | 1.25 |
| Away | wwlllw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.25 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.88 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.12 | 0.82 | 1.36 |
Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Valencia (38%)
42 Matches
Athletic Bilbao (31%)





