Valencia return to Mestalla after a 2-1 defeat to Real Betis and given their negative record against Real Madrid, we predict a 2-1 away win. Carlos Corberan's side have been solid at home, taking 1.50 points per game and remaining unbeaten in their last four at Mestalla (DDDW). Los Che's games tend to produce goals, with the team averaging 2.75 total goals per home match, while BTTS has landed in 100% of their home fixtures. Their underlying numbers are stable as well, with an xGA of just 0.96 at home. Jose Copete is sidelined through injury, which goes in favour of our betting prediction.
Real Madrid travel without Vinicius Junior (suspended) and likely without Jude Bellingham, who picked up a knock in the 2-1 loss at Rayo Vallecano. Without their two most decisive attackers, Madrid may lean more on Rodrygo and Mbappe. Los Blancos have struggled on the road, earning just 1.20 points per away match, conceding 2.20 goals per game and keeping only 20% clean sheets. Even so, Madrid still boast a strong H2H dominance: 21 wins in the last 37 meetings.
As Valencia suit Real Madrid, we are tempted to bet on the title-chasing visitors, alongside BTTS (Valencia 100% BTTS at home; Madrid concede often away) and Over 2.5 goals (70% H2H).
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 8 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Valencia 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Valencia vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -138 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ 300 Odds
- To be booked: Guido Rodriguez @ 160 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -0.5 @ -115 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Real Madrid to Win @ -250 Odds
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View OfferValencia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwl | 1.50 |
| Home | dddw | 1.50 |
| Away | wlwwl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.46 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.17 | 0.96 | 1.30 |
Real Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlw | 2.10 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.10 | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| Scored | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.05 | 2.31 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.42 | 1.83 |
Valencia vs Real Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Valencia (19%)
37 Matches
Real Madrid (57%)
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