Villarreal take on Alaves after a confidence-boosting 3-1 victory over Elche, with defender Santiago Mourinho cleared to feature again. Given Villarreal's attacking potential, we predict that they will defeat Alaves 3-1 on Matchday 19. Marcelino’s side remain unpredictable (WLLLW), but their matches are consistently open, averaging 3.20 total goals per game. The Yellow Submarine score 1.50 goals per match at home, yet their defensive issues persist, keeping just one clean sheet in four at La Ceramica. Their expected goals profile (1.78 xG vs 1.45 xGA overall) also shows a team that creates well but often leaves gaps.
The Basques head into Saturday's clash with forward Carlos Protesoni suspended, though his absence should not heavily impact the starting XI. Their form is similarly mixed (WLWLD), but they tend to be more compact away from home, conceding 1.75 goals per game on the road compared to Villarreal’s 1.50 at home. Scoring, however, remains a concern—Alaves have failed to find the net in 50% of away matches. Still, their defence travels relatively well, posting 25% away clean sheets, better than Villarreal’s home defensive record.
H2H history strongly leans toward goals, with 94% of the last 16 meetings going over 1.5 and 75% seeing BTTS, suggesting another lively contest. Therefore, both Over 2.5 goals and BTTS markets should be considered, alongside Home Win.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 10 January 2026 at 15:15.
What is our Villarreal vs Alaves prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Villarreal 3 - 1 Alaves
Villarreal vs Alaves Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Ayoze Perez @ -125 Odds
- To be booked: Alejo Gelsomino @ 162 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferVillarreal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlllw | 1.60 |
| Home | wwll | 1.50 |
| Away | lwdlw | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.78 | 1.66 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.21 | 1.61 |
Alaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwld | 1.30 |
| Home | lwlwd | 1.67 |
| Away | llwl | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 1.83 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.83 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.27 | 1.40 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.39 | 1.62 |
Villarreal vs Alaves Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Villarreal (38%)
16 Matches
Alaves (50%)
Fulham
Middlesbrough
Man City
Exeter
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Tottenham
Aston Villa
Derby
Leeds United
Swansea
West Bromwich
