Hampden Park will host a high-stakes Scottish Cup semi-final as Dunfermline take on Falkirk in what promises to be an intense and open contest. As Falkirk are having a season to remember, we predict a 2-1 win for the nominal visitors. Dunfermline arrive after a stunning 3–0 win over Aberdeen in the quarter-finals and are enjoying strong overall form (2.10 points per game across their last 10). They’ve been particularly solid at home in general, but their defensive record is less convincing in tougher fixtures, and midfielder Freddie Turley is a doubt after picking up a knock in a 2–2 draw with Airdrie. The nominal host average 2.20 goals scored per game but also concede regularly in high-tempo matches.
Falkirk, meanwhile, are enjoying a strong season at a higher level and continue to look dangerous in attack, even in a 6–3 defeat to Rangers. The Premiership outfit average 2.00 goals scored per game and are involved in very high-scoring matches overall (3.70 goals per game). With no fresh injury concerns, they arrive with continuity and attacking depth, though their defence remains vulnerable.
Given Falkirk's stronger league pedigree and more consistent attacking output, Away Win is our main betting tip for this Scottish Cup matchup, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (Both teams average over 3 goals per game combined trends and Falkirk’s open style strongly support a high-scoring semi-finals).
This Scottish Cup match will be played on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Dunfermline vs Falkirk prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Dunfermline 1 - 2 Falkirk
Dunfermline vs Falkirk Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Barney Stewart @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Barney Stewart @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Chris Hamilton @ 120 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Falkirk -0.5 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Dunfermline +2 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Falkirk to Win @ -334 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Falkirk to Win/Falkirk to Win @ 160 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Falkirk - No @ -200 Odds
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View OfferDunfermline Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwwdwwld | 2.10 |
| Home | dwwwww | 2.67 |
| Away | dwld | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.06 | 1.01 | 1.15 |
Falkirk Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllwwdlwl | 1.60 |
| Home | wlwwll | 1.50 |
| Away | wldw | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 4.50 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.33 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.17 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.48 | 1.32 |
Dunfermline vs Falkirk Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Dunfermline (35%)
31 Matches
Falkirk (42%)
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