Hearts continue to look every bit like genuine title contenders and come into this match after a hard-fought 1-0 win over Dundee. As St. Mirren struggle on the travels, we predict a 2-0 home win. The league leaders will be without suspended goalkeeper Alexander Schwolow, with Veteran Craig Gordon likely to step in. Hearts have been conceding just 0.80 goals per match and keeping 40% clean sheets, meaning that they defensive stability should remain largely intact. At home, the Jambos have been efficient, averaging 1.25 goals scored and posting a strong 2.00 PPG. Their expected goals of 1.60 at Tynecastle reflects sustained territorial pressure rather than explosive attack.
St. Mirren travel to Edinburgh in worrying away form, taking just 0.25 PPG on the road and conceding 2.50 goals per away match. Their recent run (WDLLL) highlights a sharp dip, and the potential absence of Liam Donnelly removes depth rather than a key starter. Despite decent overall expected goals (1.57), execution has been poor, with Saints failing to score in 40% of their games.
Hearts have lost only 8 of the last 32 H2Hs and typically control this matchup. As the league leaders are far more consistent, Home Win should be considered, alongside Under 3.5 goals and Hearts to Win to Nil.
This Scottish Premiership match will be played on Wednesday 14 January 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Hearts vs St Mirren prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Hearts 2 - 0 St Mirren
Hearts vs St Mirren Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Lawrence Shankland @ -163 Odds
- To be booked: Alexander Gogic @ 140 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 175 Odds
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View OfferHearts Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlww | 1.80 |
| Home | ddww | 2.00 |
| Away | dwwlw | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 1.14 | 1.34 |
St Mirren Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlll | 1.10 |
| Home | wwwdl | 1.67 |
| Away | ldll | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 1.67 | 3.75 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.67 | 2.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.64 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.27 | 1.75 |
Hearts vs St Mirren Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hearts (44%)
32 Matches
St Mirren (25%)
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