Kilmarnock return to the Premiership action under pressure after a poor run of form, taking just 0.50 points per game across their last five matches. As Kilmarnock and St. Mirren seem to be evenly matched, we predict a 1-1 draw. Neil McCann's troops remain weakened by injuries to Daniels, Kennedy and Magennis, while defender Dominic Thompson is suspended following his red card in the heavy 5-1 defeat to Rangers. Killie have lost three of their last four home matches, scoring only 1.25 goals per game at Rugby Park and posting a modest 1.39 expected goals. Defensively, the picture is worrying, with 2.00 goals conceded per match overall.
St Mirren travel to East Ayrshire with slightly more stability. The Saints come off back-to-back wins and a Scottish Cup progression, and although Jake Young is doubtful, he is not a regular starter. The Buddies’ overall away scoring remains low at 0.83 goals per game, but their defensive structure often keeps them competitive—they concede just 1.50 goals per away match and produce 1.49 expected goals, showing an ability to create chances even on the road. The H2H leans toward Kilmarnock, but form trends point to a tighter contest.
As both teams average under one goal scored per match in their weaker phases, we believe that there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals. Additionally, Half-Time Draw and Draw bets seem appealing.
This Scottish Premiership match will be played on Wednesday 11 February 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Kilmarnock vs St Mirren prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St Mirren
Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Mikael Mandron @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Mikael Mandron @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Alexander Gogic @ 137 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Kilmarnock +0.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Kilmarnock +1 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Kilmarnock vs St Mirren?
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View OfferKilmarnock Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwl | 0.50 |
| Home | lllw | 0.75 |
| Away | dldll | 0.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.75 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.39 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 2.09 | 1.63 | 2.39 |
St Mirren Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dddww | 1.00 |
| Home | dldw | 1.25 |
| Away | llddw | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 0.75 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 0.60 | 0.25 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 75% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.68 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.10 | 1.66 |
Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Kilmarnock (47%)
36 Matches
St Mirren (17%)
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