Livingston vs St Mirren Prediction & Betting Tips | 06/01/2026

Livingston vs St Mirren Prediction and Betting Tips | 6 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

5 January 2026 • 15:44 UTC • 1 min read

Livingston vs St Mirren Prediction and Betting Tips 6 January 2026

Livingston return to home action desperate to halt their slide after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Hearts. As Livingston and St. Mirren seem to be evenly matched, we predict a 1-1 draw. David Martindale’s side have won only one game so far this season, and their underlying numbers explain why: despite averaging 1.40 goals scored at home, they concede 2.40 per match, leaving them with just 0.40 points per game at the Tony Macaroni Arena. Their xGA of 1.52 at home shows the defence is consistently under pressure, while failing to score in 40% of their games limits any chance of momentum. However, Livingston at least have no new injuries to deal with ahead of this crucial fixture.

St. Mirren also come into this match following defeat, losing 2-0 at Motherwell, but their overall form is significantly stronger. The Saints average 1.67 points per game at home, though away they struggle, collecting only 0.25 points per match and conceding 2.50 goals on the road. Their xGA of 1.73 away and lack of clean sheets underline their defensive issues, though they too report no fresh injury concerns, with Ayunga and O’Hara remaining long-term absentees.

As both teams show high BTTS and defensive fragility, Over 1.5 goals is our main betting option for this matchup, alongside Both Teams to Score and Half-Time Draw.

This Scottish Premiership match will be played on Tuesday 6 January 2026 at 19:45.

What is our Livingston vs St Mirren prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Livingston 1 - 1 St Mirren

Livingston vs St Mirren Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Goalscorer: Mikael Mandron @ 162 Odds
To be booked: Alexander Gogic @ 150 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds

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Livingston Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dllll	0.30
Home	dldll	0.40
Away	dllll	0.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.90	3.80	2.00
Scored	0.90	1.40	0.40
Conceded	2.00	2.40	1.60
BTTS	60%	80%	40%
Clean Sheets	0%	0%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	20%	60%
Expected Goals	1.28	1.52	1.05
Expected Goals Against	1.53	1.52	1.54

St Mirren Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwdll	1.10
Home	lwwwd	1.67
Away	ldll	0.25

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	50%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.60	1.83	3.75
Scored	1.10	1.00	1.25
Conceded	1.50	0.83	2.50
BTTS	40%	17%	75%
Clean Sheets	30%	50%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	50%	25%
Expected Goals	1.58	1.65	1.46
Expected Goals Against	1.51	1.37	1.73