What is our Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Motherwell 1 - 0 Aberdeen
Motherwell vs Aberdeen Preview
Motherwell will try to return to winning ways after a fine 1-1 draw with title challengers Rangers, but they will be without suspended midfielder Lukas Fadinger. Anyhow, we predict a 1-0 home win as the Dons do not seem to be at their sharpest. The Well's home form has been exceptional: 2.67 points per game, 83% home win rate, and 83% clean sheets underline their status as one of the league’s strongest hosts. Jens Berthel Askou's troops also concede just 0.17 goals per home match, backed by an xGA of 0.95, showing impressive defensive control.
The Dons, on the other hand, are running down a blind alley. After a 3-0 defeat to Kilmarnock and an injury list including Knoester, Suman, Tobers, and Molloy, they remain one of the division’s weakest away side: 0.00 points per game on the road, scoring just 0.17 goals per away match while conceding 2.33. Their expected goals away from home is only 0.83, indicating they struggle to create meaningful chances.
As Aberdeen’s away record is disastrous, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Under 2.5 goals and BTTS - No as Motherwell concede very little at home.
This Scottish Premiership match will be played on Sunday, 15 February 2026 at 14:30.
- Competition
- Scottish Premiership
- Kick-off
- Sun 15 Feb, 14:30UK time
Motherwell vs Aberdeen Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance12 | -400 | |
| Draw No BetMotherwell | -450 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeMotherwell / Motherwell | 140 | |
| Asian HandicapMotherwell -0.5 | -174 | |
| European HandicapAberdeen +2 | -225 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -225 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -600 | |
| Clean SheetMotherwell: Yes | 137 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerTawanda Maswanhise | 100 | |
| First GoalscorerTawanda Maswanhise | 350 | |
| To be BookedGraeme Shinnie | -125 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 160 |
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View OfferMotherwell Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwwdwwwd | 2.10 |
| Home | wwwwwd | 2.67 |
| Away | dldw | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.83 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 0.30 | 0.17 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 0.95 | 1.57 |
Aberdeen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldllllwwl | 0.70 |
| Home | dlww | 1.75 |
| Away | llllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 2.00 | 0.17 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.25 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.70 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.88 | 1.25 | 2.30 |
Motherwell vs Aberdeen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Motherwell (35%)
46 Matches
Aberdeen (48%)





