St. Mirren enter this match full of confidence after a narrow 1–0 win over Livingston, a result that extended their strong home run to three consecutive victories. Given Kilmarnock's poor form, our prediction firmly points toward a 1-0 home win. The Saints average 1.67 points per game at home and score 1.33 goals per match at their own ground, supported by an xG of 1.49, which highlights steady chance creation. Defensively they remain slightly volatile, conceding 1.17 per home game, but their ability to grind out results has improved noticeably over the past month. Importantly, there are no fresh injury worries for the Saints, allowing Stephen Robinson to keep consistency in his starting lineup.
Kilmarnock, on the other hand, find themselves in a worrying downward spiral. With only 0.20 points per game across all venues and 0% win rate, Killie have struggled massively in both creativity and defensive structure. They score just 0.60 goals per game overall and concede 2.20, while their xG (1.30) suggests they create chances but lack clinical finishing. The absence of Brandon, Daniels, Kennedy, Magennis, and Stryjek continues to hurt them, as shown in the recent 1–0 defeat to Falkirk.
Given St. Mirren's fine home record an splendid for, Home Win should be considered, with additional value on Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals (Saints solid defensively; Killie score only 0.60 per match).
This Scottish Premiership match will be played on Saturday 27 December 2025 at 15:00.
What is our St Mirren vs Kilmarnock prediction?
Our prediction for this match: St Mirren 1 - 0 Kilmarnock
St Mirren vs Kilmarnock Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Mikael Mandron @ 137 Odds
- To be booked: Brad Lyons @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferSt Mirren Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwww | 1.40 |
| Home | llwww | 1.67 |
| Away | lwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 2.50 | 4.75 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.33 | 2.25 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.17 | 2.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.61 | 1.49 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.55 | 1.51 |
Kilmarnock Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddlll | 0.20 |
| Home | lldll | 0.20 |
| Away | llldl | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.57 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.13 | 1.91 |
St Mirren vs Kilmarnock Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
St Mirren (17%)
35 Matches
Kilmarnock (49%)
