Almeria face Burgos aiming to build on their strong home momentum after a 2-1 win over Andorra and we predict that they will do so with a 1-0 victory. Even though Almeria will be without Nelson Monte, who is suspended after accumulating yellow cards, they remain favourites to win Sunday's clash. The Andalusians average 2.50 points per game and have won 75% of their matches. They also boast an impressive defensive record on their own ground, conceding just 0.25 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 75% of home fixtures. Overall, Almeraa score 1.80 goals per match while allowing only 0.80.
Burgos arrive in decent form but with a clear home-away split. They average 2.50 points per game on the road and have won 83% of their away matches, yet their attacking output remains modest at 1.67 goals scored away from home. Injuries to Chapela and Gonzalez reduce their options, even if neither is a key starter. Historically, this matchup favors Almeria, who have won three of the last four H2H meetings, with 75% of those games ending in their favor and only one featuring BTTS.
As Almeria have turned their stadium into a real fortress, Home Win should be considered, with additional value on Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals as both sides concede under 1.3 goals per game.
This Segunda Division match will be played on Sunday 14 December 2025 at 17:30.
What is our Almeria vs Burgos prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Almeria 1 - 0 Burgos
Almeria vs Burgos Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Patrick Soko @ 105 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAlmeria Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldlw | 2.00 |
| Home | wwwd | 2.50 |
| Away | wwllw | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.25 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.87 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 0.98 | 1.53 |
Burgos Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwl | 1.90 |
| Home | wdll | 1.00 |
| Away | wwwlw | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.25 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.20 | 1.22 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.23 | 1.11 | 1.31 |
Almeria vs Burgos Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Almeria (75%)
4 Matches
Burgos (25%)
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