Almeria vs Deportivo Prediction & Betting Tips | 17/01/2026

Almeria vs Deportivo Prediction and Betting Tips | 17 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

16 January 2026 • 14:51 UTC • 1 min read

Almeria vs Deportivo Prediction and Betting Tips 17 January 2026

Almería aim to strengthen their promotion push as they welcome Deportivo La Coruna, despite dealing with a long injury list. Bonini, Cedillo, Chumi, Lopy, Melamed and Robertone are all unavailable, though Gaizka Garitano still has solid depth to rotate. Therefore, we predict a 2-0 home win. The Andalusians remain strong at home, averaging 1.75 points per game at UD Almeria Stadium and scoring 1.75 goals per home match. Defensively they have improved too, conceding just 1.00 goal per home fixture and keeping 50% clean sheets. Their matches often open up, producing 2.75 goals per game at home.

The Galicians travels to Andalusia wounded after a midweek Copa del Rey defeat to Atlético Madrid, which could influence energy levels. Bachmann and Navarro are out, but Deportivo have been reliable travellers this season, earning 1.75 points per game away and keeping 50% clean sheets on the road. Their defence is notably tighter away, conceding only 0.50 goals per match. However, they struggle in attack, scoring just 1.25 goals per away outing and posting a modest 1.08 expected goals.

Given Almeria's fine home record and higher expected goals numbers, Home Win is our main betting tip for this Segunda Division derby, with additional value on Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals as Deportivo’s away games average just 1.75 goals.

This Segunda Division match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 20:00.

What is our Almeria vs Deportivo prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Almeria 2 - 0 Deportivo

Almeria vs Deportivo Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-0
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Soko @ 100 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds

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Almeria Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wllwd	1.40
Home	wdlw	1.75
Away	llwld	1.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Average Goals Per Game	3.20	2.75	3.50
Scored	1.80	1.75	1.83
Conceded	1.40	1.00	1.67
BTTS	70%	50%	83%
Clean Sheets	30%	50%	17%
Failed to Score	10%	25%	0%
Expected Goals	1.63	1.87	1.46
Expected Goals Against	1.35	1.01	1.58

Deportivo Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wlddl	1.40
Home	llwdl	1.17
Away	wwld	1.75

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	33%	50%
Average Goals Per Game	2.30	2.67	1.75
Scored	1.10	1.00	1.25
Conceded	1.20	1.67	0.50
BTTS	40%	50%	25%
Clean Sheets	30%	17%	50%
Failed to Score	30%	33%	25%
Expected Goals	1.31	1.46	1.08
Expected Goals Against	1.47	1.43	1.52