Almeria vs Malaga Prediction & Betting Tips | 19/04/2026

Almeria vs Malaga Prediction and Betting Tips | 19 April 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

18 April 2026 • 20:53 UTC • 1 min read

Almeria vs Malaga Prediction and Betting Tips 19 April 2026

Sparkles will be flying in this Andalusian derby as Almeria host Malaga in a high-stakes clash between promotion contenders. As the two teams seem to be evenly matched, we predict a 1-1 draw. Almeria come into the game in strong form (1.90 PPG), especially at home where they have been perfect recently with a 100% win rate and scoring an impressive 3.00 goals per game. However, they do concede regularly (1.60 overall), and the absence of midfielder Dion Lopy could affect their midfield control.

Malaga are equally competitive, also sitting on 1.90 PPG and showing strong away form (1.60 PPG). Los Boquerones are solid defensively (1.20 conceded per game) and arrive after a confidence-boosting 2-0 win over Las Palmas. With Lorenzo and Merino back from suspension, they gain added balance and experience.

Given derby intensity, promotion pressure, and physical midfield battles, our main prediction leans toward Over 4.5 yellow cards, with additional value on Over 1.5 yellow cards first half, and BTTS (both teams average 2+ goals scored per game).

This Segunda Division match will be played on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 20:00.

What is our Almeria vs Malaga prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Almeria 1 - 1 Malaga

Almeria vs Malaga Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1 @ 650 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 130 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Sergio Calvo Arribas @ -105 Odds
First Goalscorer: Sergio Calvo Arribas @ 375 Odds
Asian Handicap: Malaga +1 @ -191 Odds
European Handicap: Malaga +2 @ -275 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Double Chance: X2 @ -106 Odds
Draw No Bet: Almeria to Win @ -250 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 550 Odds
Clean Sheet: Almeria - No @ -275 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Almeria vs Malaga?

You can place your bets on Almeria vs Malaga at the following bookmakers:

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Almeria Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwdwlwwlwl	1.90
Home	wwwww	3.00
Away	dlwll	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	100%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	3.60	4.00	3.20
Scored	2.00	3.00	1.00
Conceded	1.60	1.00	2.20
BTTS	70%	80%	60%
Clean Sheets	10%	20%	0%
Failed to Score	20%	0%	40%
Expected Goals	1.59	1.84	1.34
Expected Goals Against	1.57	1.37	1.77

Malaga Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwwdwwdddw	1.90
Home	wdwdw	2.20
Away	lwwdd	1.60

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	60%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	3.20	3.40	3.00
Scored	2.00	2.20	1.80
Conceded	1.20	1.20	1.20
BTTS	50%	40%	60%
Clean Sheets	50%	60%	40%
Failed to Score	10%	20%	0%
Expected Goals	1.70	1.83	1.57
Expected Goals Against	1.44	1.36	1.52