Ceuta head into this fixture sitting in mid-table after a 1-1 draw with Castellon, with little left to play for beyond pride. As both Ceuta and Malaga traditionally find the net when facing each other in La Liga 2, we predict a 2-2 draw. Their recent form has been inconsistent, collecting just 1.1 points per game across their last 10 matches, while defensive issues remain a concern with 1.6 goals conceded on average. At home, Ceuta have been more stable, but the absence of midfielder Aisar Ahmed through suspension could disrupt their balance in midfield. Still, the hosts tend to be involved in open games, with 70% of their recent matches seeing both teams score.
Malaga arrive with far stronger motivation as they continue their push to stay in the playoff places. The Andalusians have been in excellent form, winning five of their last 10 matches and averaging an impressive 2.4 goals scored per game. Their attacking output has been particularly strong on the road, where they average 2.6 goals scored and have failed to score in just 10% of matches. However, defensive suspensions for Carlos Dotor and Diego Murillo could leave them slightly exposed at the back.
As all previous H2Hs and recent stats strongly support goals at both ends, we are tempted to place our bets on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals.
This Segunda Division match will be played on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 15:15.
What is our Ceuta vs Malaga prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Ceuta 2 - 2 Malaga
Ceuta vs Malaga Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1200 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 137 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Eneko Jauregui @ -105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Eneko Jauregui @ 375 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Malaga +0.5 @ -417 Odds
- European Handicap: Malaga +1 @ -450 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ 100 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Malaga to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 550 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Malaga - No @ -275 Odds
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View OfferCeuta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwdldddwd | 1.10 |
| Home | lwddd | 1.20 |
| Away | ldldw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.19 | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.64 | 1.52 | 1.75 |
Malaga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdddwllww | 1.80 |
| Home | wdwlw | 2.00 |
| Away | wddlw | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.82 | 2.06 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.27 | 1.67 |
Ceuta vs Malaga Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Ceuta (33%)
3 Matches
Malaga (33%)
Ceuta vs Malaga Past Results
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