Ceuta will look to bounce back from their 2-1 defeat to Malaga as they host Valladolid in La Liga 2. Given Valladolid's difficulties up front, our prediction points toward a 1-0 home win. The newcomers remain strong at their own ground, collecting 2.00 points per game at home and winning 60% of their matches. Their attacking numbers are solid, scoring 1.6 goals per home game, while 80% of their matches overall have seen both teams scoring. However, they enter this one with key absences, as Fernandez Sanchez and Sanchez remain sidelined, while Jamelli is a major doubt.
Valladolid, meanwhile, suffered a heavy 3-0 loss to Leganes, continuing an inconsistent run that leaves them with only 0.90 points per game overall. La Pucela struggle particularly in attack, scoring just 0.8 goals per match, and have failed to score in 60% of their fixtures. Injuries to Delgado, Marcos Andre, and Ndiaye further limit their forward options.
With Ceuta more convincing at home and Valladolid’s away form showing only 0.80 PPG, the hosts enter as slight favourites despite their own setbacks. Therefore, we predict Home Win, with additional value on Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals as La Pucela have failed to score in 60% of their recent matches.
This Segunda Division match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 13:00.
What is our Ceuta vs Valladolid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Ceuta 1 - 0 Valladolid
Ceuta vs Valladolid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Marc Domenech @ 150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
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View OfferCeuta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwwl | 1.40 |
| Home | lwwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | lldwl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.39 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.31 | 1.42 |
Valladolid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldl | 0.90 |
| Home | wldld | 1.00 |
| Away | dlwll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.79 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.14 | 1.00 | 1.28 |
Ceuta vs Valladolid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Ceuta (0%)
1 Matches
Valladolid (100%)
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