Estadio Municipal de Ipurua will be the centre of attention as Eibar face Malaga in a crucial clash for the playoff race in La Liga 2. Given Eibar's excellent form, we predict a 1-0 home win. The Basques look unstoppable at the moment, winning eight of their last ten matches (2.60 PPG) and boasting one of the best defensive records in the league. Los Armeros concede just 0.3 goals per game overall and have kept clean sheets in 70% of recent matches, including a perfect defensive away record (100% clean sheets away). Their attack is also efficient, led by Jon Bautista, who hit a hat-trick in a 3-0 win over Albacete, while a key midfielder returns from suspension to strengthen midfield control.
Los Boquerones are also in the playoff hunt with 1.60 PPG, but their form is less stable despite scoring 2.2 goals per game. The Andalusians are dangerous offensively (60% BTTS) but concede 1.6 per match, leaving them vulnerable against top opposition. The return of Rafa Rodriguez and Ramon Enriquez improves squad depth after suspension, and they will look to bounce back from a 3-2 loss to Castellón.
Eibar dominate the H2H slightly and look defensively superior in every metric. Given their splendid form, 80% win rate, and best defence in the matchup, Home Win should be considered, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Over 4.5 yellow cards (tense derby match).
This Segunda Division match will be played on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Eibar vs Malaga prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Eibar 1 - 0 Malaga
Eibar vs Malaga Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Jon Bautista @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Jon Bautista @ 375 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Eibar 0 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Malaga +2 @ -400 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Eibar to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Eibar to Win/Eibar to Win @ 225 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Eibar - Yes @ 137 Odds
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View OfferEibar Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwwwwdww | 2.60 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.60 |
| Away | wwwdw | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.43 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 0.97 | 1.59 |
Malaga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwdddwll | 1.60 |
| Home | dwdwl | 1.60 |
| Away | wwddl | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 1.77 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.56 | 1.54 | 1.58 |
Eibar vs Malaga Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Eibar (40%)
15 Matches
Malaga (27%)
Eibar vs Malaga Past Results
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