Gijon vs Malaga Prediction & Betting Tips | 04/01/2026

Gijon vs Malaga Prediction and Betting Tips | 4 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

1 January 2026 • 20:25 UTC • 1 min read

Gijon vs Malaga Prediction and Betting Tips 4 January 2026

Sporting Gijon and Malaga meet in a compelling Segunda clash, with both sides entering on the back of morale-boosting victories. As the two teams seem to be evenly matched, we predict a 1-1 draw. Los Rojiblancos edged Leganes 1-0 last time out, maintaining a strong defensive trend that has seen them keep 50% clean sheets overall and concede just 0.80 goals per match. Their home record, however, remains inconsistent, with only 1 win from 5 at El Molinon and a modest 1.20 points per game. Sporting create well (xG 1.31), but still struggle to convert, scoring fewer than one goal per match on average. Midfielder Mamadou Loum remains sidelined, but there are no fresh injury concerns.

Malaga travel to Asturias in solid form after a dramatic 2-1 Andalusian derby win over Almeria, extending their unbeaten run to three. Their matches tend to be far more open: Los Boquerones are involved in games averaging 3.10 goals, with an extraordinary 90% BTTS rate this season. Even away from home, they score 1.50 goals per game, although defensive gaps remain. Forward Victor Garcia misses out due to suspension.

Given the attacking potentials of both sides, Both Teams to Score bet should be considered, alongside Draw and Half-Time Draw.

This Segunda Division match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 13:00.

What is our Gijon vs Malaga prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Gijon 1 - 1 Malaga

Gijon vs Malaga Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5

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Gijon Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwlw	1.50
Home	dddwl	1.20
Away	llwww	1.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	20%	60%
Average Goals Per Game	1.60	1.40	1.80
Scored	0.80	0.60	1.00
Conceded	0.80	0.80	0.80
BTTS	30%	40%	20%
Clean Sheets	50%	40%	60%
Failed to Score	30%	40%	20%
Expected Goals	1.31	1.48	1.14
Expected Goals Against	1.26	1.02	1.50

Malaga Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dldww	1.50
Home	dwdw	2.00
Away	lldlw	1.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Average Goals Per Game	3.10	3.50	2.83
Scored	1.70	2.00	1.50
Conceded	1.40	1.50	1.33
BTTS	90%	100%	83%
Clean Sheets	0%	0%	0%
Failed to Score	10%	0%	17%
Expected Goals	1.55	1.85	1.35
Expected Goals Against	1.46	1.60	1.37