Las Palmas and Malaga face each other in the first leg of the Segunda Division playoff semi-finals, with both teams just two rounds away from securing promotion to La Liga. As Las Palmas have turned their Estadio de Gran Canaria into a real fortress, we predict a 2-1 home win. La Union Deportiva head into the encounter in high spirits after a 2-1 victory over Deportivo La Coruna on the final day of the regular season. Boss Luis Garcia has a fully fit squad at his disposal, which is a major boost ahead of such an important fixture. Las Palmas have been particularly impressive at home, winning four of their last five matches and collecting 13 points from a possible 15.
Malaga, meanwhile, booked their playoff ticket with a comfortable 2-0 win over Zaragoza. Although Juanpe, Luismi, and Pastor remain sidelined through injury, the visitors still have their key men available for the trip to Gran Canaria. Los Boquerones have been entertaining to watch lately, averaging 2.1 goals scored per game across their last ten outings, while 80% of those matches saw both teams get on the scoresheet. However, their defence has looked vulnerable, particularly away from home, where they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches.
As Las Palmas have won four of their last five home games and boast a much stronger home record than Malaga's away form, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (both teams average at least three total goals per game across their last ten matches).
This Segunda Division match will be played on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Las Palmas vs Malaga prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Las Palmas 2 - 1 Malaga
Las Palmas vs Malaga Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -120 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 120 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Taisei Miyashiro @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Taisei Miyashiro @ 400 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Las Palmas 0 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Las Palmas +1 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Las Palmas to Win @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Las Palmas to Win/Las Palmas to Win @ 260 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Las Palmas - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferLas Palmas Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwwwlwdw | 2.20 |
| Home | wwwwd | 2.60 |
| Away | lwlww | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 0.94 | 1.54 |
Malaga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwllwwwdw | 1.80 |
| Home | wlwd | 1.75 |
| Away | ddlwww | 1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 1.75 | 2.67 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 1.96 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.58 | 1.48 | 1.65 |
Las Palmas vs Malaga Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Las Palmas (38%)
16 Matches
Malaga (31%)
Las Palmas vs Malaga Past Results
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