A place in the Segunda Division playoffs final will be on the line when Malaga and Las Palmas square off in the return leg of their semi-final tie. Malaga head into the clash with a slender advantage after recording a hard-fought 1-0 victory in the first leg, meaning the Andalusian side are now just one step away from the final. The hosts will be without injured defender Einar Galilea, but their recent form suggests they have every reason to be confident. Malaga have won six of their last ten matches, scoring an impressive 2.1 goals per game, while they have found the net in every one of those ten outings.
Las Palmas, meanwhile, travel to Andalusia needing a response after failing to make home advantage count in the first meeting. The visitors have no fresh injury concerns, while forward Estanis Pedrola is pushing for a place in the starting XI. Las Palmas have also won six of their last ten matches and tend to be involved in open contests, with BTTS landing in 70% of those games and 80% of their away fixtures. However, defensive problems on the road remain a concern, as they have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five away matches.
As Malaga seem to be in a better form than Las Palmas, Home Win should be considered, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (Malaga average 3.3 total goals per game, while Las Palmas average 2.8, suggesting another entertaining contest could be on the cards).
This Segunda Division match will be played on Wednesday 10 June 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Malaga vs Las Palmas prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Malaga 2 - 1 Las Palmas
Malaga vs Las Palmas Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Carlos Chupete @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Carlos Chupete @ 400 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Malaga 0 @ -223 Odds
- European Handicap: Malaga +1 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Malaga to Win @ -225 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Malaga to Win/Malaga to Win @ 220 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Malaga - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferMalaga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwllwwwdww | 2.00 |
| Home | wlwd | 1.75 |
| Away | dlwwww | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.33 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.72 | 1.96 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.48 | 1.47 |
Las Palmas Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwwlwdwl | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwdl | 2.00 |
| Away | lwlww | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.38 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 0.97 | 1.54 |
Malaga vs Las Palmas Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Malaga (35%)
17 Matches
Las Palmas (35%)
