Real Valladolid will be eager to make amends for a shocking 1-0 loss to Real Sociedad B. Given Malaga's difficulties on the road, our prediction points toward a 2-1 win. La Pucela want to make the most of home advantage where they have generally looked more stable, averaging 1.00 goals per game in the last five fixtures at Estadio Jose Zorrilla. Even though Delgado and Garriel are sidelined, the hosts possess enough depth to cover those absences without major disruption to their structure or rhythm.
Los Boquerones, on the other hand, head into the match with a respectable overall output (1.30 PPG) but remain heavily dependent on their home form. Their away numbers are far less convincing—just 0.50 PPG, scoring only 0.83 goals per away match, and losing four of their last five on the road. To make matters worse, their extensive injury list significantly reduces their chances, especially against a Valladolid side that tends to grow stronger at home.
Given Malaga’s weakened squad and poor away form, Home Win is our main selection for Saturday's derby, alongside Under 3.5 (70% H2H) and Under 2.5 goals (50%).
This Segunda Division match will be played on Saturday 29 November 2025 at 20:00.
What is our Valladolid vs Malaga prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Valladolid 2 - 0 Malaga
Valladolid vs Malaga Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Adrian Arnu @ 105 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferValladolid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdll | 0.90 |
| Home | ldlwl | 0.80 |
| Away | wdldl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.85 | 2.09 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
Malaga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldlw | 1.30 |
| Home | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Away | llwll | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 4.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 3.00 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.25 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.79 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.70 | 1.35 |
Valladolid vs Malaga Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Valladolid (0%)
10 Matches
Malaga (30%)
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