Bari paly host to Palermo at their Stadio San Nicola in a highly-anticipated Serie B clash as the home side look to escape the relegation zone. Nonetheless, our prediction leans toward a 1-0 away win as the Sicilians seem to be at the top of their game. The Biancorossi arrive in decent form following a 2-1 win at Cesena, but their home record is concerning, with just 0.40 points per game and a meager 0% win rate at home in recent fixtures. Moreno Longo's men score only 1 goal per home match on average while conceding 1.6, and have failed to score in 80% of their home matches.
Palermo, chasing automatic promotion, are in strong form, unbeaten in their last five games (dwdwd) and boasting a perfect home record this season. They score 2 goals per home match while conceding none, and have kept 100% clean sheets at home. Their away form is less consistent but remains competitive. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team.
Head-to-head stats favor Palermo, who have won 9 of the last 20 meetings, while Bari has claimed just 3 victories. Considering that Bari are low scoring at home, we believe that punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Under 2.5 goals (60% H2H), alongside BTTS - No and Palermo to Win.
This Serie B match will be played on Friday 30 January 2026 at 19:30.
What is our Bari vs Palermo prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Bari 0 - 1 Palermo
Bari vs Palermo Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Joel Pohjanpalo @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Joel Pohjanpalo @ 350 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Palermo -0.5 @ -118 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferBari Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldllw | 0.70 |
| Home | ldldl | 0.40 |
| Away | lddlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 1.04 | 1.13 | 0.95 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.74 | 1.78 | 1.69 |
Palermo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwd | 1.90 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | dwddd | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 100% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.62 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.14 | 1.41 |
Bari vs Palermo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Bari (15%)
20 Matches
Palermo (45%)
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