Empoli are brimming with confidence after a dominant 3-0 win over Carrarese, and crucially, they have no fresh injury concerns. Therefore, we predict that they will defeat Modena 1-0 on Matchday 22. The Azzurri's overall numbers are solid, taking 1.60 points per game, while boasting one of the league’s better defensive profiles with 50% clean sheets and just 1.00 goal conceded per match. At home, Empoli average 1.60 goals scored, and although their BTTS rate sits at 40%, their xGA of 1.01 shows good defensive control at the Castellani.
Modena travel with uncertainty over key midfielder Simone Santoro, who is likely to miss out after sustaining a knock in the goalless draw with Palermo. Their form has dipped sharply—just 0.90 PPG overall—with a particularly poor home record ( 0.40 PPG ), though they perform better away ( 1.40 PPG ). The Canarini score 1.20 goals per away game, but their expected goals away ( 2.33 ) suggests they are underperforming in front of goal.
Empoli hold a slight historical advantage, winning 5 of 11 H2H clashes, with 73% of meetings producing over 1.5 goals Given their strong form and better defence, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside Empoli/Empoli and Empoli to Score First.
This Serie B match will be played on Saturday 31 January 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Empoli vs Modena prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Empoli 1 - 0 Modena
Empoli vs Modena Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Manuel De Luca @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Manuel De Luca @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Empoli +0.5 @ -154 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferEmpoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwll | 1.60 |
| Home | wwldl | 1.40 |
| Away | wlwwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.49 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.01 | 1.48 |
Modena Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllwd | 0.90 |
| Home | dllld | 0.40 |
| Away | dlwlw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.97 | 1.62 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 1.26 | 1.14 |
Empoli vs Modena Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Empoli (45%)
11 Matches
Modena (36%)
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