Modena vs Padova Prediction & Betting Tips | 28/02/2026

Modena vs Padova Prediction and Betting Tips | 28 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

27 February 2026 • 19:14 UTC • 1 min read

Modena vs Padova Prediction and Betting Tips 28 February 2026

Modena welcome Padova in a Serie B showdown where both sides aim to stay in contention for the top positions. As Padova continue to struggle on the travels, we predict a 1-0 home win. Defender Daniel Tonoli is suspended for the Canarini, who come off a 2-1 win over Juve Stabia. Modena’s home form has been inconsistent, collecting 0.80 points per game, scoring 1.00 goal per match, and conceding just 1.20 goals. Despite limited firepower, they have kept clean sheets in 40% of home games, and their expected goals of 1.42 suggest chances are being created but often narrowly missed.

Padova face Modena without Fusi and Perrotta, both suspended after a 1-1 draw with Bari. Away from home, Padova have struggled, earning 0.80 points per game, scoring 1.00 goal on average, and conceding 1.80, though they have scored in 60% of their recent matches. There are no fresh injury worries in the away team ahead of Saturday's game.

H2H is fairly balanced, with Modena winning 7 of the last 17 meetings compared to Padova’s 6. Considering Modena's home edge and H2H advantage, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals markets seem tempting as only 4 of 17 past meetings exceeded this mark.

This Serie B match will be played on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 14:00.

What is our Modena vs Padova prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Modena 1 - 0 Padova

Modena vs Padova Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-0 @ 550 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -106 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 275 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Manuel De Luca @ 110 Odds
First Goalscorer: Manuel De Luca @ 375 Odds
Asian Handicap: Padova +1.5 @ -174 Odds
European Handicap: Padova +2 @ -175 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
Draw No Bet: Modena to Win @ -600 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Modena to Win/Modena to Win @ 125 Odds
Clean Sheet: Modena - Yes @ 100 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Modena vs Padova?

You can place your bets on Modena vs Padova at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Modena Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lllwddlwww	1.40
Home	lldlw	0.80
Away	lwdww	2.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	20%	60%
Average Goals Per Game	2.00	2.20	1.80
Scored	1.10	1.00	1.20
Conceded	0.90	1.20	0.60
BTTS	40%	60%	20%
Clean Sheets	50%	40%	60%
Failed to Score	30%	20%	40%
Expected Goals	1.56	1.42	1.69
Expected Goals Against	1.39	1.32	1.46

Padova Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dlwllldwld	0.90
Home	dwllwd	1.33
Away	lldl	0.25

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	33%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	2.17	2.75
Scored	1.00	1.17	0.75
Conceded	1.40	1.00	2.00
BTTS	50%	67%	25%
Clean Sheets	20%	33%	0%
Failed to Score	30%	0%	75%
Expected Goals	1.28	1.39	1.11
Expected Goals Against	1.82	1.99	1.57