Modena will be looking to build on a solid defensive display after a goalless draw with Cesena. Therefore, we predict that the Canarini will play out a 1-1 draw with Spezia on Friday evening. No fresh injury worries give Modena stability, and their recent numbers highlight how hard they are to break down: The Canarini have kept 60% clean sheets in their last five and concede just 0.70 goals per game overall. At home, their attacking output drops (0.80 scored), but their xG (1.51) suggests they create more than the raw numbers show. With 1.50 points per game and strong away form this season, they enter as slight favourites.
Spezia remain stuck in the relegation zone despite a confidence-boosting 4–2 victory over Monza. Injuries to Cassata, Sarr, and Zurkowski limit their rotation options, and the team remains inconsistent. The Bianconeri fail to score in 50% of recent matches and average only 1.00 goal per game away, with xGA of 1.82 showing defensive vulnerability on the road. Historically, H2H is balanced (5–6–4), but goals tend to stay low with only 13% Over 2.5 across 15 meetings.
As only 13% of H2H passed Over 2.5 goals, a low-scoring affair is on the cards. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals as our main betting tip, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Serie B match will be played on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:30.
What is our Modena vs Spezia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Modena 1 - 1 Spezia
Modena vs Spezia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 600 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Manuel De Luca @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Manuel De Luca @ 400 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Spezia +1 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Spezia +2 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ 110 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 450 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Modena - No @ -163 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Modena vs Spezia?
You can place your bets on Modena vs Spezia at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferModena Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddlwwwlld | 1.50 |
| Home | dlwld | 1.00 |
| Away | wdwwl | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.51 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.13 | 0.81 | 1.45 |
Spezia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlddlwldw | 1.20 |
| Home | wdllw | 1.40 |
| Away | lldwd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.46 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.17 | 1.82 |
Modena vs Spezia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Modena (27%)
15 Matches
Spezia (33%)
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