Monza continue their push for automatic promotion after a convincing 3-0 win over Sampdoria, and confidence is clearly high. Therefore, we predict a 1-0 win for the hosts. The Biancorossi have collected an impressive 2.10 points per game from their last ten matches, winning 60% of them. At Brianteo, Monza are particularly strong, boasting a 75% win rate while conceding just 0.25 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 75% of those matches. Their attacking output is also solid, averaging 1.80 goals per game with a consistent 1.53 xG, suggesting they create enough chances to control games.
Modena, meanwhile, remain in the playoff hunt but have struggled for consistency, picking up just 1.20 points per game in the same period. Their matches tend to be open, with BTTS landing in 80% overall and 100% of away games. However, defensive issues persist, conceding 1.80 goals per match on the road, and injuries to Chichizola and Gliozzi further weaken their options.
Given Monza's excellent home record and momentum, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Under 3.5 goals and Monza to Win to Nil (Biancorossi concede very little at home).
This Serie B match will be played on Friday 24 April 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Monza vs Modena prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Monza 1 - 0 Modena
Monza vs Modena Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -118 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Cutrone @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Patrick Cutrone @ 400 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Monza -0.5 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Tie - Monza -1 @ 300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Monza to Win @ -450 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Monza to Win/Monza to Win @ 150 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Monza - Yes @ 120 Odds
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View OfferMonza Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlwdddww | 2.10 |
| Home | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Away | wwlddw | 1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.70 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.06 | 1.53 |
Modena Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldwwlddl | 1.20 |
| Home | ldwwl | 1.40 |
| Away | wlldd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.05 | 1.52 |
Monza vs Modena Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Monza (50%)
2 Matches
Modena (0%)
Monza vs Modena Past Results
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