Padova look to bounce back from a narrow 1–0 defeat to Sampdoria, and with no new injury setbacks, they should field a stable lineup. As both Padova and Bari are likely to adopt a cautious approach, we predict a 1-1 draw. The Patavini's home numbers are respectable: 1.40 points per game, 40% win rate, and only 1.00 goal conceded per home match. The expected goals profile (1.41 xG at home) shows they usually create enough to trouble opponents, but inconsistency remains a problem—Padova have failed to score in 30% of their matches overall.
Bari, meanwhile, are struggling with form (0.60 PPG overall), yet young forward Emanuele Rao’s impact off the bench last weekend may give them a spark. Bari’s attack has been underperforming, scoring just 0.60 goals per match, while failing to score in 50% of their outings. Their defensive record, however, is steadier away from home (1.00 goal conceded per match), and their xGA numbers (1.74 overall) suggest matches often become tight, low-margin affairs.
The H2H history strongly favors Bari (5 wins from 8), but neither side arrives with enough momentum to fully trust. Padova’s slightly better structure at home balances Bari’s historical edge, shaping a close, tactical contest. As both sides head into the match with low scoring trends, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside Draw and Half-Time Draw.
This Serie B match will be played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Padova vs Bari prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Padova 1 - 1 Bari
Padova vs Bari Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alessandro Seghetti @ 162 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alessandro Seghetti @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Bari +0.5 @ -130 Odds
- European Handicap: Bari +1 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -138 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 350 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Padova - No @ -175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Padova vs Bari?
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View OfferPadova Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldwl | 1.10 |
| Home | dwllw | 1.40 |
| Away | wlldl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.27 | 1.41 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.79 | 2.04 | 1.54 |
Bari Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldl | 0.60 |
| Home | dlldl | 0.33 |
| Away | dlwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.11 | 1.17 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.77 | 1.79 | 1.74 |
Padova vs Bari Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Padova (13%)
8 Matches
Bari (63%)
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