Padova return home after a chaotic 3-3 draw with Juve Stabia, but they will be without important forward Alessandro Capelli, who is suspended after scoring in that match. Anyhow, Padova are capable of finding the net at home and given Carrarese's attacking potential, we predict a 2-2 draw. The Patavini's home numbers already show inconsistency: only 1.00 point per game, scoring 1.20 and conceding 1.20 per match. Their defensive issues remain visible through their 1.95 xGA at home, one of the highest among promotion contenders.
Carrarese come into this clash calmer after a 0-0 draw with Sudtirol and without new injury worries. Their home form is excellent this season, but away from home they remain unreliable with 0.60 PPG and a worrying 3.00 goals conceded per away match. However, their attack usually finds a way, scoring in 80% of away fixtures and producing open games with an average of 4.20 total goals per match on the road. Their expected goals numbers also reflect this split: 1.62 xG at home, but just 1.04 away.
This matchup likely leans on defensive fragility on both sides rather than stability. As both sides concede too often and Carrarese away games average 4.20 goals, we are tempted to bet on BTTS, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals.
This Serie B match will be played on Tuesday 10 February 2026 at 19:00.
What is our Padova vs Carrarese prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Padova 2 - 2 Carrarese
Padova vs Carrarese Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alessandro Seghetti @ 200 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alessandro Seghetti @ 600 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Padova +0.5 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: Padova +1 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -225 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Padova to Win @ -120 Odds
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View OfferPadova Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllld | 1.20 |
| Home | ddwll | 1.00 |
| Away | wwlld | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Carrarese Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwld | 1.40 |
| Home | wdwwd | 2.20 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 1.60 | 4.20 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 0.20 | 3.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.62 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.12 | 1.91 |
Padova vs Carrarese Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Padova (0%)
1 Matches
Carrarese (0%)
