Padova return home looking to build on their 2–0 win over Modena, a result achieved comfortably despite the absence of injured midfielder Jacopo Bacci. As Mantova have been having their ups and downs on the road, our prediction points toward a 1-0 home win. Padova's overall form remains inconsistent, though, with just 1.20 points per game at home and only 20% home wins so far. Matteo Andreoletti's men score 1.00 goal per home match but concede at the same rate, and their expected goals against of 1.91 at the Euganeo hints at defensive vulnerabilities that better sides often exploit.
Mantova, meanwhile, are trying to halt a winless streak after three defeats followed by back-to-back draws, including a solid 1–1 against Palermo. Their away numbers are mixed: 1.00 PPG, 0.75 goals scored, but an impressive 50% clean sheet rate on the road. However, their expected goals against away from home is high (2.11), suggesting that their defensive resilience hasn’t always matched the chances they concede.
Historically, Padova dominate this fixture with 8 wins from 16 meetings. Given both teams’ current inefficiencies in attack, a cagey affair is possible, with one goal likely to separate them. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Half-Time Draw.
This Serie B match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Padova vs Mantova prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Padova 1 - 0 Mantova
Padova vs Mantova Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alessandro Seghetti @ 162 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferPadova Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdlw | 1.30 |
| Home | dlddw | 1.20 |
| Away | dlwwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.11 | 1.16 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.75 | 1.91 | 1.59 |
Mantova Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldd | 1.10 |
| Home | wwlld | 1.17 |
| Away | wlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.33 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.76 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.25 | 2.11 |
Padova vs Mantova Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Padova (50%)
16 Matches
Mantova (19%)
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