Padova return home after a heavy 3-0 defeat to Sudtirol, a result that extended their inconsistent run, taking just 1.10 points per game overall and only 1.00 PPG at home. However, our prediction points toward a 1-0 away win as Monza look unstoppable at the moment. Although there are no fresh injury concerns for Matteo Andreoletti's team, their numbers remain worrying: Padova score just 0.80 goals per match and have failed to score in 40% of games. Defensively, the issues persist, conceding 1.20 goals per outing and posting only 20% clean sheets. Their xGA of 1.91 at home further highlights structural problems.
Monza travel in strong form, eyeing automatic promotion after a convincing 3-0 win over Pescara. With 1.80 PPG overall and an impressive 2.20 PPG at home, they have also collected a solid 1.40 PPG away. Their attack is significantly more efficient, scoring 1.70 goals per match, while their expected goals sits at 1.56, reflecting consistent chance creation. Midfielder Leonardo Colombo is suspended, but Monza’s depth and quality remain superior.
Historically, Padova have won both H2H meetings, but current form strongly favours Monza, who look more balanced and dangerous at both ends of the pitch. Considering's stronger form and better attacking metrics, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 goals and Monza to Score First.
This Serie B match will be played on Sunday 1 February 2026 at 16:15.
What is our Padova vs Monza prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Padova 0 - 2 Monza
Padova vs Monza Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Dany Mota @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Dany Mota @ 550 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Monza -0.5 @ -118 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferPadova Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwll | 1.10 |
| Home | lddwl | 1.00 |
| Away | lwwll | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.39 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.88 | 1.91 | 1.84 |
Monza Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwldw | 1.80 |
| Home | wdwdw | 2.20 |
| Away | wdlwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.43 | 1.27 |
Padova vs Monza Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Padova (100%)
2 Matches
Monza (0%)
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