Tuesday's clash between Padova and Spezia features two sides with almost identical season profiles, yet with very different home-and-away dynamics. Therefore, our prediction points toward 1-0 home win as the Patavini look sharp at home. Padova enter the match after a confidence-boosting 2-1 win at Modena, despite still missing midfielder Jacopo Bacci. At home, Padova average 1.40 points per game, winning 40% of their matches and conceding just 1.00 goal per game. Their xG numbers at home (1.43) also show they regularly create enough to threaten.
The Bianconeri, meanwhile, remain without Cassata, Sarr, and Zurkowski after a 1-0 defeat to Reggiana. Their away form is a concern: 0.80 PPG, only 0.80 goals scored, and a high 60% fail-to-score rate. Their defensive stability drops on the road too, allowing 1.20 goals per match with an xGA of 1.72. Historically, Padova have the slight edge with three wins from eight meetings.
Padova are stronger at home and with Spezia struggling on the road, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win, alongside Under 2.5 goals (both teams average under 1.2 goals scored) and Padova to Win to Nil.
This Serie B match will be played on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Padova vs Spezia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Padova 1 - 0 Spezia
Padova vs Spezia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 700 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alessandro Seghetti @ 200 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alessandro Seghetti @ 550 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Padova +0.5 @ -223 Odds
- European Handicap: Padova +1 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -225 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Padova to Win @ -120 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Padova to Win/Padova to Win @ 350 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Padova - Yes @ 200 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Padova vs Spezia?
You can place your bets on Padova vs Spezia at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferPadova Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwllldwldw | 1.10 |
| Home | wllwd | 1.40 |
| Away | lldlw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.23 | 1.43 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.84 | 2.10 | 1.58 |
Spezia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwlddlwl | 1.10 |
| Home | wwdll | 1.40 |
| Away | llldw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.41 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.22 | 1.72 |
Padova vs Spezia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Padova (38%)
8 Matches
Spezia (13%)
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