Palermo return to action in excellent shape, sitting 4th and enjoying one of the strongest home records in Serie B. Therefore, we predict that they will defeat Spezia 3-0 on Sunday afternoon. Filippo Inzaghi has a full squad available—a significant advantage given their current momentum. At home, Palermo have been outstanding: four straight wins, 2.40 points per game, and an impressive defensive record with 80% clean sheets. Their matches at the Barbera average 3.00 goals, but with Palermo conceding just 0.60 per game, they typically control proceedings.
Spezia, meanwhile, continue to battle at the wrong end of the table. Injuries to Bandinelli, Sarr, and Zurkowski weaken an already fragile side. Their away form shows why they sit 18th—just 0.60 points per game, 1.80 goals conceded, and only 20% wins on the road. Spezia’s xGA of 1.80 away suggests Palermo will create plenty of chances.
Historically, the H2H is balanced, with Palermo edging it slightly (3 wins to 2), but current form heavily favors the hosts. With Palermo’s strong attacking output and Spezia’s porous defense, the matchup leans clearly toward the home team. Given the Sicilians' huge home advantage and full squad, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside Palermo Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total.
This Serie B match will be played on Sunday 18 January 2026 at 16:15.
What is our Palermo vs Spezia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Palermo 3 - 0 Spezia
Palermo vs Spezia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Joel Pohjanpalo @ 100 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferPalermo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwd | 1.80 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | ldwdd | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 0% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.72 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.12 | 1.51 |
Spezia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwl | 1.10 |
| Home | ddwlw | 1.60 |
| Away | llwll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.67 | 1.54 | 1.80 |
Palermo vs Spezia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Palermo (25%)
12 Matches
Spezia (17%)
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