Sampdoria face Bari in a Serie B show down looking to bounce back from a narrow 2-1 defeat to Mantova. With Sampdoria turning their Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris into a real fortress, we predict a 2-1 home win. La Samp will be without Pierini and Venuti, but their home form remains solid, earning 2.20 points per game at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. They score an average of 1.6 goals at home while conceding just 1.0, and 70% of their matches see both teams score. Their overall expected goals (xG) sits at 1.41, slightly higher than Bari’s 1.13, reflecting Sampdoria’s attacking edge.
Bari have struggled this season, with just one away win from four and averaging 1.0 goals scored per road match, while conceding 1.25. Talented forward Emanuele Rao is doubtful, further weakening their attack. Historically, Sampdoria hold a strong H2H advantage, winning four of the last eleven meetings, with over 1.5 goals landing in 64% of these encounters.
As Sampdoria are a real force to be reckoned with at home and leading the H2H record, Home Win should be considered, alongside BTTS (Sampdoria 70% and Bari 75% away BTTS), and Home Team Over 1.5.
This Serie B match will be played on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Sampdoria vs Bari prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sampdoria 2 - 1 Bari
Sampdoria vs Bari Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 105 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Massimo Coda @ 100 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Massimo Coda @ 300 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Sampdoria -0.5 @ -143 Odds
- European Handicap: Bari +2 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Sampdoria to Win @ -400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Sampdoria to Win/Sampdoria to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Sampdoria - No @ -138 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Sampdoria vs Bari?
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View OfferSampdoria Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlddwwdwl | 1.60 |
| Home | wdwdw | 2.20 |
| Away | dldwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.35 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 0.99 | 1.32 |
Bari Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldllwlldld | 0.60 |
| Home | ldlldl | 0.33 |
| Away | lwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.13 | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.80 | 1.79 | 1.80 |
Sampdoria vs Bari Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sampdoria (36%)
11 Matches
Bari (9%)
