Sampdoria host Padova to their Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris after a thrilling 3-3 draw with Palermo. As Padova continue to struggle on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. La Samp have only one absentee, defender Lorenzo Venuti, and have been strong at home, winning 60% of recent matches and averaging 2 goals per home game while conceding just 1.4. Their overall scoring rate is 1.4 goals per match, with 70% of games seeing both teams score, reflecting a potent attack but a somewhat leaky defense.
Padova head into Saturday's clash in decent form, coming off a 1-0 win over Carrarese, with no fresh injury concerns. The Patavini have struggled away, winning just 25% of road games, scoring 1.25 goals per match while conceding 2, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. In head-to-head encounters, Sampdoria hold the edge with 1 win and 2 draws in their last three meetings.
This matchup promises goals, but Sampdoria’s home strength makes them favorites to claim maximum points. Considering Sampdoria's recent signs of improvement and H2H advantage, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (both sides have attacking tendencies and shaky defenses).
This Serie B match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Sampdoria vs Padova prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sampdoria 2 - 1 Padova
Sampdoria vs Padova Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Massimo Coda @ 100 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Massimo Coda @ 300 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Sampdoria -0.5 @ -122 Odds
- European Handicap: Padova +2 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Sampdoria to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Sampdoria to Win/Sampdoria to Win @ 187 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Sampdoria - No @ -150 Odds
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View OfferSampdoria Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwwd | 1.60 |
| Home | wwdwd | 2.20 |
| Away | ldldw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.43 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 1.04 | 1.36 |
Padova Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldw | 1.20 |
| Home | dwllw | 1.33 |
| Away | wlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.17 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.32 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.81 | 1.96 | 1.59 |
Sampdoria vs Padova Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sampdoria (33%)
3 Matches
Padova (0%)
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