Spezia vs Frosinone Prediction & Betting Tips | 15/02/2026

Spezia vs Frosinone Prediction and Betting Tips | 15 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

14 February 2026 • 18:07 UTC • 1 min read

Spezia vs Frosinone Prediction and Betting Tips 15 February 2026

Spezia return to action after a goalless draw with Bari, a result that extended their winless run to three. As Spezia are tough to beat at home, we predict that they will hold Frosinone to a 1-1 draw. Injuries remain a serious concern for the hosts: Bandinelli, Cassata, Sarr and Zurkowski are all sidelined, limiting depth and creativity in midfield. Despite that, Spezia’s home numbers (1.75 PPG and 1.00 goal conceded on average) suggest they can still be competitive at the Stadio Alberto Picco. Their attacking output, however, is modest: just 1.00 goal scored at home and 25% failed-to-score rate. The underlying process mirrors this, with 1.28 xG at home.

Frosinone, meanwhile, have been in a much better form (DWDLW) and boast 2.10 PPG overall, including an impressive 1.80 PPG away. Their attack is extremely consistent — scoring in 100% of away matches and averaging 1.80 goals both home and away. Defensively the Canarini are less reliable on the road (0% clean sheets, 1.20 conceded), but their high BTTS rate (100% away) reflects an open approach. Midfielder Ilias Koutsoupias is doubtful, but the squad depth should soften the blow.

Historically, the H2H is balanced (5-6-5), though 63% BTTS suggests goals at both ends are common. Given Spezia's 50% BTTS at home and Frosinone's 100% away, we believe that there is big value in betting on Both Teams to Score, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.

This Serie B match will be played on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:00.

What is our Spezia vs Frosinone prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Spezia 1 - 1 Frosinone

Spezia vs Frosinone Betting Tips

Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Gioele Conte @ 187 Odds
First Goalscorer: Gioele Conte @ 600 Odds
Asian Handicap: Spezia +0.5 @ -191 Odds
European Handicap: Spezia +1 @ -200 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -200 Odds
Draw No Bet: Spezia to Win @ -111 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 450 Odds
Clean Sheet: Frosinone - No @ -334 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Spezia vs Frosinone?

You can place your bets on Spezia vs Frosinone at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Spezia Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwldd	1.10
Home	lwwd	1.75
Away	lllld	0.67

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	50%	17%
Average Goals Per Game	1.70	2.00	1.50
Scored	0.70	1.00	0.50
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	40%	50%	33%
Clean Sheets	30%	25%	33%
Failed to Score	40%	25%	50%
Expected Goals	1.41	1.28	1.50
Expected Goals Against	1.60	1.62	1.58

Frosinone Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dwdlw	2.10
Home	wwwwl	2.40
Away	wdddw	1.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	80%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	2.70	2.40	3.00
Scored	1.80	1.80	1.80
Conceded	0.90	0.60	1.20
BTTS	70%	40%	100%
Clean Sheets	30%	60%	0%
Failed to Score	0%	0%	0%
Expected Goals	1.73	2.05	1.40
Expected Goals Against	1.54	1.30	1.78