Sudtirol head into the Serie B round 24 in strong form, but the suspension of Silvio Merkaj is a major setback. Therefore, our prediction firmly points toward a 1-0 Monza win. Merkaj has been crucial to their recent surge, and without him Sudtirol lose both physical presence and end-product in the final third. Still, their defensive structure remains a strength — they concede just 0.60 goals per match and have kept 40% clean sheets. At home, Sudtirol average 2.00 points per game with a solid expected goals of 1.63, showing reliable chance creation even if finishing sometimes lets them down.
Monza, meanwhile, continue their push for promotion after a confident 2-1 win over Avellino. With no new injuries, they travel to Bolzano at full strength and in good rhythm. Their attack has been particularly impressive, scoring 1.80 goals per game, rising to 2.40 on home soil, and carrying an overall expected goals of 1.73. The visitors also show resilience — they’ve won three of their last four matches and average 1.40 PPG away, a respectable return in Serie B. Although Sudtirol have a slight H2H edge (3 wins to Monza’s 2), the Biancorossi look the more complete side at this stage.
With Sudtirol missing key attacker and Monza finding their best form, we predict Away Win, alongside BTTS - No and Under 2.5 goals as Sudtirol concede just 0.60 per match.
This Serie B match will be played on Wednesday 11 February 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Sudtirol vs Monza prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sudtirol 0 - 1 Monza
Sudtirol vs Monza Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Cutrone @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Patrick Cutrone @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Monza 0 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Monza +1 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Monza to Win @ -200 Odds
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View OfferSudtirol Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwd | 1.60 |
| Home | ldwww | 2.00 |
| Away | ddlwd | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.63 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.44 | 1.23 |
Monza Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwww | 1.80 |
| Home | dwdww | 2.20 |
| Away | dlwlw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.73 | 1.94 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.22 | 1.43 |
Sudtirol vs Monza Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sudtirol (33%)
9 Matches
Monza (22%)
