Sudtirol return home looking to build on a 1–0 win over Empoli, but our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw this time out as Padova and Sudtirol seem to be evenly matched at the moment. The hosts remain one of the lowest-scoring sides in the division, averaging just 0.75 goals per home match and failing to score in 50% of their home outings. Still, the Sudtirolesi compensate with structure and discipline, conceding only 0.75 goals per home match and keeping 25% clean sheets. Their underlying numbers show balance rather than threat, with an xG of 1.35 and xGA of 1.56 at home. With no fresh injury worries, Sudtirol are expected to stick with a compact, defensive setup.
Padova head into Sunday's game after a 2–1 loss to Mantova, but their away form has been relatively steady, earning 1.50 points per game. Defensively, they concede just 0.75 goals per away match, while their attack—though modest—remains slightly more efficient than Sudtirol’s, scoring 0.75 per away match. Only Jacopo Bacci is missing. However, Padova’s high xGA away (1.70) suggests they allow more chances than results indicate.
The H2H is tight, with seven draws in fourteen meetings, reflecting historically balanced matchups. As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach in Sunday's clash, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting pick, with additional value on Draw and Half-Time Draw.
This Serie B match will be played on Sunday 25 January 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Sudtirol vs Padova prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sudtirol 1 - 1 Padova
Sudtirol vs Padova Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Raphael Odogwu @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferSudtirol Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddlww | 1.20 |
| Home | dldw | 1.25 |
| Away | dddlw | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.35 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.56 | 1.34 |
Padova Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlwl | 1.20 |
| Home | lddwl | 1.00 |
| Away | lwwl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 2.17 | 1.50 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.27 | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.70 |
Sudtirol vs Padova Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sudtirol (21%)
14 Matches
Padova (29%)
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