AS Roma host Genoa to their Stadio Olimpico in Serie A round 17 looking to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat to Juventus. Given their fine home record, we predict a 2-1 win for Gian Piero Gasperini's troops. Roma’s main setback is the absence of key defender Evan Ndicka on international duty, but they remain strong defensively, conceding only 0.7 goals per game overall and keeping clean sheets in 40% of matches. At home, their record improves further, averaging 2.25 points per game, scoring 1.25 goals, and conceding just 0.5 goals. BTTS occurs in only 25% of their home matches, showing the Giallorossi can control games when solid at the back.
Genoa travel to "The Eternal City" without first-choice goalkeeper Nicola Leali, which is a major blow. Their away form is patchy—1.4 points per game, scoring 1.6 goals but conceding 2.2 goals on average. Genoa are prone to both scoring and conceding, reflected in 80% BTTS rate in away games and a high goals-per-game average of 3.8.
H2H trends favor Roma, who have won 22 of the last 33 meetings. Considering Roma's dominant home form and Genoa’s defensive struggles, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals and Roma to Score First.
This Serie A match will be played on Monday 29 December 2025 at 19:45.
What is our AS Roma vs Genoa prediction?
Our prediction for this match: AS Roma 2 - 1 Genoa
AS Roma vs Genoa Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Antonio Arena @ 162 Odds
- To be booked: Johan Vasquez @ -105 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
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View OfferAS Roma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwl | 1.80 |
| Home | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Away | wwlwl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.40 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.48 |
Genoa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwll | 1.10 |
| Home | ldwll | 0.80 |
| Away | lwdlw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.22 | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.65 | 1.51 | 1.78 |
AS Roma vs Genoa Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
AS Roma (67%)
33 Matches
Genoa (18%)
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