Sparkles will be flying as Roma and Milan meet in a high-stakes clash that could shape the Scudetto race. As the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment, our prediction points toward a 1-1 draw. The Giallorossi head into the match after a confident 2-0 win over Torino, but their attacking depth is stretched with El Shaarawy and Ferguson doubtful and star striker Dovbyk ruled out. Even so, their home form remains impressive: 2.25 points per game, a 75% win rate, and 2.0 goals per home match. Defensively, they allow just 1.02 xGA at the Olimpico and keep clean sheets in 50% of home fixtures.
Milan travel to Rome in equally strong form (WDDWW), but Massimiliano Allegri is also managing some absences. Santiago Gimenez is out, while Alexis Saelemaekers is doubtful after a knock in the 1-0 win over Lecce. Milan’s away numbers are steady, taking 1.67 points per game and scoring 1.33 goals per match. Their defensive record away from home (1.17 conceded) is similar to Roma’s, suggesting a tight tactical duel. Historically, this matchup is finely balanced: Milan lead the H2H only narrowly (14–13), with 69% BTTS and 59% over 2.5 goals across recent meetings.
Considering strong H2H trend (69%) and both teams in solid form, Both Teams to Score is our main betting tip for this Serie A derby, with additional value on Draw and Half-Time Draw.
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 25 January 2026 at 19:45.
What is our AS Roma vs MIlan prediction?
Our prediction for this match: AS Roma 1 - 1 MIlan
AS Roma vs MIlan Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Artem Dovbyk @ 175 Odds
- To be booked: Emanuele Sala @ 110 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAS Roma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlw | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Away | wllww | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.89 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.21 | 1.02 | 1.34 |
MIlan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddww | 1.80 |
| Home | dwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | wlwdw | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 0.76 | 1.42 |
AS Roma vs MIlan Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
AS Roma (33%)
39 Matches
MIlan (36%)
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