Atalanta and Fiorentina face each other at Gewiss Stadium in what promises to be a low-scoring 1-1 draw. The Orobici have yet to find their best form in the first half of the season, with the team averaging only 0.67 goals per game. Given their poor defensive display in a 3-1 loss to Napoli, we are not tempted to bet on the home side. With fit-again centre-forward Gianluca Scamacca finding his goal-scoring touch of late, we expect Atalanta to start improving offensively.
The Viola, on the other hand, are still looking for their first win of the season. Given their fine performance in a 1-1 draw with Juventus, we predict that the visitors are going to grab something from Sunday’s clash. With Fiorentina netting 1.30 goals per game in the last 10 league fixtures, a low-scoring affair is on the cards in Bergamo. Both Kouame and Gosens will be assessed ahead of the kick-off.
With both Atalanta and Fiorentina being low on confidence ahead of Sunday’s clash, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip, with additional value on BTTS (62% H2H) and Draw.
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 30 November 2025 at 17:00.
What is our Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atalanta 1 - 1 Fiorentina
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Nikola Krstovic @ 105 Odds
- To be booked: Johan Vasquez @ 105 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
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View OfferAtalanta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwll | 1.10 |
| Home | ddddl | 1.17 |
| Away | dlwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.79 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.13 | 0.99 | 1.35 |
Fiorentina Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldd | 0.90 |
| Home | wldld | 1.00 |
| Away | lwlld | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.44 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.11 | 1.63 |
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atalanta (26%)
39 Matches
Fiorentina (54%)
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