With both Atalanta and Napoli chasing a Champions League spot, this matchup at the Gewiss Stadium carries huge weight. Anyhow, we predict a 2-1 home win as Antonio Conte's men do not seem to be at their sharpest. The Orobici return home after a 2-0 Champions League defeat to Borussia Dortmund but have no fresh injuries. However, both De Ketelaere and Raspadori remain sidelined. Atalanta have been excellent in Bergamo, collecting 2.40 points per game, winning 80% of home matches, and scoring 2.6 goals per game. Defensively, they look solid too: 60% home clean sheets and only 0.8 conceded.
Napoli travel north after a dramatic 2-2 draw with AS Roma, but defender Amir Rrahmani and midfielder Frank Anguissa are both doubtful. The Partenopei’s away numbers show inconsistency: just 1.25 PPG, conceding 2.0 goals per game, and 0% clean sheets away from home. BTTS hits in 75% of their away matches, and their defence has been unstable under pressure.
As Atalanta's home form is too strong and Napoli struggle at the back, Home Win should definitely be considered, alongside BTTS (Napoli away BTTS 75%, H2H at 62%) and Over 2.5 goals (62%).
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Atalanta vs Napoli prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atalanta 2 - 1 Napoli
Atalanta vs Napoli Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 120 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Giacomo Raspadori @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Giacomo Raspadori @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Marten de Roon @ 275 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atalanta 0 @ -122 Odds
- European Handicap: Atalanta +1 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -250 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Atalanta to Win @ -125 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Atalanta to Win/Atalanta to Win @ 333 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Atalanta - No @ -275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Atalanta vs Napoli?
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View OfferAtalanta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwl | 1.70 |
| Home | wlwww | 2.40 |
| Away | dldwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.94 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.15 | 1.73 |
Napoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdd | 1.40 |
| Home | wlwdd | 1.50 |
| Away | ddlw | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.50 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.46 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 1.17 | 1.25 |
Atalanta vs Napoli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atalanta (38%)
37 Matches
Napoli (46%)
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