Atalanta return to Bergamo boosted by the comeback of Ademola Lookman, whose presence adds dynamism to an attack already averaging 1.6 goals per game this season. As Parma suit Atalanta, our prediction points toward a 2-1 home win. The Orobici are in strong form overall and particularly dominant at home, where they collect 2.5 points per game with an impressive 83% win rate. Defensively, Atalanta have been reliable at the Gewiss Stadium, conceding just 0.5 goals on average and keeping clean sheets in 50% of their home fixtures. Up front, Nikola Krstovic is pushing for a start after scoring as a substitute in the 1-1 draw with Pisa.
The Gli Emiliani, meanwhile, arrive with a mixed run (DLWDD) and a long injury list, with Frigan, Guaita, Ndiaye, Suzuki, and Almqvist all likely out. Their away form is more encouraging, taking 1.6 points per game, and they score 1 goal per away match, but their xGA of 1.55 on the road suggests vulnerabilities against high-tempo sides like Atalanta. Historically, the hosts have dominated this matchup with 11 wins from their last 20 meetings.
Given Atalanta's fine home form and superior numbers, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals as 70% of their previous H2H meetings have seen 3 or more goals.
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 25 January 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Atalanta vs Parma prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atalanta 2 - 1 Parma
Atalanta vs Parma Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Giacomo Raspadori @ -105 Odds
- To be booked: Ademola Lookman @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAtalanta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwd | 2.20 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.50 |
| Away | lwwd | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.33 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.62 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.19 | 1.09 | 1.35 |
Parma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwdd | 1.20 |
| Home | llwld | 0.80 |
| Away | lwdwd | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 0.60 | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.70 | 1.85 | 1.55 |
Atalanta vs Parma Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atalanta (55%)
20 Matches
Parma (30%)
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