Bologna return to action in Serie A after their 2-0 defeat to Napoli in the Italian Super Cup and given their fine home record, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 win. Even though the likely absence of experienced forward Federico Bernardeschi slightly reduces their creativity in the final third, the Rossoblu are still seen as favourites to win Sunday's clash. Bologna are a strong, well-balanced side: they win 50% of their league matches and average 1.67 points per game at home. Their attacking numbers are consistent, scoring 1.6 goals per match overall with an expected goals of 1.72, while their defence allows just 1.1 goals per game. BTTS has landed in 67% of their home games, showing they often both score and concede.
Sassuolo welcome back key midfielder Kristian Thorstvedt, which improves their attacking link-up play and ability to progress through midfield. Their away form is respectable—1.60 points per game away, 1.4 goals scored, and 40% clean sheets, though their inconsistency shows with a 40% failed-to-score rate. Their xGA away (1.49) suggests they do concede chances, but they also tend to find the net more readily on the road.
Head-to-head meetings traditionally produce goals, with 80% over 1.5 goals, 55% over 2.5. Therefore, these betting options should be considered, alongside Home Win due to Bologna's reliable home numbers.
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 28 December 2025 at 17:00.
What is our Bologna vs Sassuolo prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Bologna 2 - 1 Sassuolo
Bologna vs Sassuolo Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Ciro Immobile @ 110 Odds
- To be booked: Fali Cande @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferBologna Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwldl | 1.70 |
| Home | wlwld | 1.67 |
| Away | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.83 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.72 | 1.93 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.11 | 1.38 |
Sassuolo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwdl | 1.20 |
| Home | lldwl | 0.80 |
| Away | dwwld | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.40 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.32 | 1.49 |
Bologna vs Sassuolo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Bologna (40%)
20 Matches
Sassuolo (30%)
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