Cagliari will be eager to turn their solid defensive displays into a first home victory of the season when they welcome Lecce. The Rossoblu suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat to Inter last time out, despite showing plenty of resilience against an opponent that registered 3.67 xG. Michel Adopo came close to rescuing a point late on but missed a clear-cut opportunity. Cagliari have won 43% of their last 10 home matches, while conceding just 0.57 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in 57% of those fixtures. Idrissi, Trepy, and Mina are doubtful.
Lecce, meanwhile, will be looking to bounce back from an embarrassing 4-0 home defeat to Roma. The Giallorossi managed only seven goal attempts, yet Lecce failed to create a decent opportunity, underlining their attacking struggles. They have scored just 0.50 goals per game at home recently, while averaging 1.17 away from home. Willem Geubbels is doubtful for the visitors. The H2H record is evenly contested, with Cagliari winning five of 14 meetings and Lecce four.
As Cagliari's strong home defensive numbers make the Rossoblu appealing, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals (
Under 2.5 goals – Cagliari’s home games average only 1.71 goals.
This Serie A match will be played on Monday 7 September 2026 at 17:00.
What is our Cagliari vs Lecce prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Cagliari 1 - 0 Lecce
Cagliari vs Lecce Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 220 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kingstone Mutandwa @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kingstone Mutandwa @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Ivan Ilic @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Cagliari 0 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Lecce +2 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Cagliari to Win @ -225 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Cagliari to Win/Cagliari to Win @ 225 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Cagliari - Yes @ 150 Odds
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View OfferCagliari Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwddwwll | 1.80 |
| Home | wdwdwll | 1.57 |
| Away | wdw | 2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 43% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 1.29 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.71 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.57 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 29% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 57% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 43% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.33 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.27 | 1.46 |
Lecce Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddwlwwlwl | 1.40 |
| Home | dlwl | 1.00 |
| Away | ldwwlw | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.23 | 1.15 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.34 | 1.56 |
Cagliari vs Lecce Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Cagliari (36%)
14 Matches
Lecce (29%)
Cagliari vs Lecce Past Results
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