Cagliari and Lecce meet in an eagerly-awaited Serie A game with both sides looking to stabilise inconsistent campaigns. As Lecce are not considered good travellers, our prediction firmly points toward 1-0 home win. The Rossoblu aim to recover from a 2-0 defeat to Roma, but their home numbers remain solid: they average 1.75 goals scored at the Unipol Domus while conceding just 0.75, contributing to a 50% home win rate and two clean sheets in four. However, the hosts may be without midfield enforcer Alessandro Deiola and forward Borrelli, both doubtful.
Lecce’s 2-1 win over Udinese offered a rare positive, but Eusebio Di Francesco's men remain unreliable away from home, collecting just 0.25 points per game on the road and failing to score in 75% of away matches. The suspension of pacey winger Lameck Banda further limits their attacking threat, reflected in their low away expected goals of just 0.83. Historically, this matchup leans towards goals, with 62% BTTS and 85% over 1.5 across their last 13 meetings.
Cagliari hold a slight edge based on recent form and home efficiency. The Sardinians are tronger at home and given Lecce's poor away record, Home Win should be considered. Under 2.5 goals and BTTS - No markets boast big value as well as the Giallorossi struggle up front on the road.
This Serie A match will be played on Monday 16 February 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Cagliari vs Lecce prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Cagliari 1 - 0 Lecce
Cagliari vs Lecce Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Gianluca Gaetano @ 200 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Gianluca Gaetano @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Alessandro Deiola @ 225 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Cagliari 0 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Cagliari +1 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -250 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Cagliari to Win @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Cagliari to Win/Cagliari to Win @ 300 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Cagliari - Yes @ 125 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Cagliari vs Lecce?
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View OfferCagliari Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwl | 1.40 |
| Home | dlww | 1.75 |
| Away | wdlwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.75 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.75 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.10 | 0.99 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.69 | 1.60 | 1.75 |
Lecce Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldlw | 0.80 |
| Home | llldw | 1.17 |
| Away | dlll | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.25 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.36 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 0.99 | 2.23 |
Cagliari vs Lecce Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Cagliari (38%)
13 Matches
Lecce (23%)
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